EFFECTS OF PHOSPHORUS LOADINGS ON THE WATER QUALITY OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER, LOCK AND DAM NO. 1 THROUGH LAKE PEPIN Catherine E. Larson, D. Kent Johnson, Rececca J. Flood, Michael L. Meyer, Terrie J. O'Dean, and Scott M. Schellhaass. Metropolitan Council Environmental Services, Environmental Planning and Evaluation Department, 230 East Fifth Street, St. Paul, MN 55101-1633. During the 1988 drought, low river flows and high nutrient levels led to excessive algal blooms in Lake Pepin (Pool 4), accompanied by surface scums, bad odors, low oxygen levels, and localized fish kills. The Metropolitan Wastewater Treatment Plant (Metro Plant), owned and operated by the Metropolitan Council Environmental Services (MCES) is the largest point source of phosphorus upstream of Lake Pepin. In 1990-92 and 1994-1998, MCES and its partners conducted studies to determine the effect of phosphorus (P) loadings from the Metro Plant and other sources on the water quality of the Mississippi River, specifically algal blooms in Lake Pepin and Spring Lake (Pool 2). The 1994-98 study had six major components. The Science Museum of Minnesota examined sediment cores from Lake Pepin to estimate historical changes in sediment and P loadings and diatom communities. The University of Minnesota studied historical trends in agricultural practices and wastewater discharges to relate human activities to loading changes. MCES assessed a 21-year water-quality database to determine sources and patterns of sediment, P, and chlorophyll loadings. The U.S. Army Engineers conducted limnological studies of Lake Pepin to analyze nutrient and seston fluxes. The MN-WI Boundary Area Commission lead a volunteer monitoring program to evaluate water quality from the users' perspective. HydroQual, Inc. developed an advanced model to project future water-quality conditions under various P management strategies. Over the past 200 years, algal communities in Lake Pepin have changed from clear- water benthic and mesotrophic planktonic taxa to mostly planktonic assemblages characteristic of highly eutrophic conditions. The major factors are likely increased P concentrations and decreased light. P loadings to the lake have increased more than five-fold to over 4000 mt/yr. Wastewater discharges and fertilizer applications are the likely causes. P concentrations in Lake Pepin have increased approximately four- fold, from 50 to 200 ęg/L. Sediment loadings have increased ten-fold for 850,000 mt/yr, most likely due to increases in row-crop acreage. Currently, nutrients are abundant in the Mississippi River, Lock & Dam 1 through Lake Pepin, and rarely decline to concentrations low enough to limit algal growth. When physical and hydrological conditions are favorable, severe nuisance algal blooms occur especially in lower Pool 2 and Lake Pepin. During periods of low river flows, point sources contribute the majority of P loads upstream of Lake Pepin (e.g., 89% in 1988). However, at high flows, nonpoint sources dominate P loads (e.g., 75% in 1993). At average flows, P loads are roughly split between point and nonpoint sources. The Metro Plant contributed 20% of the TP and over 40% of the SRP during the past two decades. Nonpoint-source loads were highest in the Minnesota River. Only a small fraction of P is retained in Pools 2-4; most is flushed through and transported downstream. During 1985-96, the overall P retention rate in Lake Pepin was 10%. In all 12 years, Lake Pepin was a net sink of particulate P and a net source of SRP. Internal SRP loading represented 10% of the total SRP loading to Lake Pepin during this 12-year period. The fraction climbed to a third in low flow years and two-thirds in low flow summers. 1 In a future low flow summer, water-quality conditions in Lake Pepin would improve somewhat under the P reduction strategies tested. P concentrations would decrease dramatically but would remain high enough to support excessive algal growth. Even with P removal to 1.0 mg/L at point sources and moderate controls at nonpoint sources, algal levels in Lake Pepin would remain excessive (i.e., viable chlorophyll a> 30 ęg/L) over half of the summer. The main benefit would be to reduce peak algal levels during low flow periods. Biological P removal will be fully implemented at the Metro Plant by the end of 2003. However, long-term improvements in water quality will only be achieved through basin-wide reductions in P loadings from point and nonpoint sources. Keywords: Mississippi River, Lake Pepin, phosphorus, algae, water quality _________________________________________________________________________________ 2