HOW TO ESTIMATE INUNDATION-INDUCED TREE MORTALITY USING RIVER WATER LEVEL DATA Yao Yin, The University of Tennessee, 569 Dabney Hall, Knoxville, TN 37996. I have developed a method for estimating the probability of tree mortality due to inundation using river water level data. The probability is defined as a function of inundation duration and size of the tree. The method includes a formula to determine the threshold water level of inundation using historical river water level data, and formulas to estimate the probability of tree mortality based on inundation duration and tree size. Inundation duration is defined as the total number of days when river water level is at or above the threshold water level between January 1 and December 31. Parameters in the tree mortality probability formulas were estimated by applying linear logistic regression on data collected in 1994 and 1995 at seven reaches along the Upper Mississippi River. The formulas were tested against data collected in 1994 and 1995 at one reach on the Illinois River. Test results indicate that these formulas have potentials for applications in other river reaches. Formulas are now available for Acer saccharinum, Fraxinus pennsylvanica, Ulmus americana, Populus deltoides, Acer negundo, Celtis occidentalis, Morus rubra, Salix nigra, and Betula nigra. Keywords: floodplain tree, Mississippi River, inundation, mortality Presenting author: Yao Yin, 575 Lester Avenue, Onalaska, WI 54650. Telephone: (608)-783-7550 extension 53. Fax: (608) 783-8058. E-mail: yao_yin@nbs.gov Type of presentation: platform only The author is NOT a student.